Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.986410e-02 0.046385 0.053115 0.060545 0.068482 0.076676 0.085744
2025-12-07 3.092366e-02 0.040456 0.050844 0.062840 0.076162 0.090376 0.106566
2025-12-14 2.536146e-02 0.036786 0.049814 0.065390 0.083181 0.102593 0.125124
2025-12-21 2.051601e-02 0.033012 0.047897 0.066256 0.087729 0.111589 0.139693
2025-12-28 1.870405e-02 0.032538 0.049545 0.070971 0.096422 0.125031 0.159036
2026-01-04 1.438053e-02 0.028221 0.046050 0.069185 0.097242 0.129259 0.167757
2026-01-11 1.200437e-02 0.026156 0.045102 0.070257 0.101241 0.136983 0.180315
2026-01-18 9.799194e-03 0.023992 0.043788 0.070685 0.104315 0.143511 0.191395
2026-01-25 7.929923e-03 0.022027 0.042537 0.071032 0.107166 0.149678 0.201971
2026-02-01 6.165016e-03 0.019905 0.040866 0.070684 0.109041 0.154597 0.211015
2026-02-08 4.060612e-03 0.016677 0.037319 0.067640 0.107384 0.155156 0.214825
2026-02-15 2.875140e-03 0.014836 0.035616 0.066925 0.108550 0.159029 0.222469
2026-02-22 2.160318e-03 0.013853 0.035256 0.068168 0.112412 0.166435 0.234646
2026-03-01 1.598809e-03 0.013038 0.035100 0.069686 0.116654 0.174354 0.247513
2026-03-08 1.263735e-03 0.012694 0.035668 0.072204 0.122187 0.183861 0.262292
2026-03-15 8.196631e-04 0.011750 0.035132 0.073083 0.125536 0.190651 0.273790
2026-03-22 8.272602e-04 0.012418 0.037398 0.078035 0.134266 0.204116 0.293343
2026-03-29 3.226721e-04 0.010555 0.035053 0.076156 0.133888 0.206222 0.299150
2026-04-05 1.536746e-04 0.009885 0.034778 0.077283 0.137478 0.213252 0.310897
2026-04-12 3.710348e-05 0.009044 0.034087 0.077733 0.140125 0.219076 0.321162
2026-04-19 2.959885e-08 0.008240 0.033374 0.078098 0.142622 0.224688 0.331150
2026-04-26 NaN 0.007284 0.032232 0.077732 0.144079 0.228953 0.339466
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005654 0.029382 0.074532 0.141534 0.228052 0.341376